Western United FC vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
10º
5º
25
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 49 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 41 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 26 |
11º
|
71.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 30.5% |
|
Next round
|
55% | 55% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PER
1 - 3
WUF
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
WUF
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 1
MCI
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 1
WES
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 1
WUF
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
BRI
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
MFC
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 3
MEL
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
CCM
0 - 0
MEL
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |