Western United FC vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
PLI
2 - 1
WUF
42%
24%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MCI
0 - 2
WUF
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 4
WUF
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
WUF
0 - 1
MEL
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
WPH
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 4
MUD
7%
18%
75%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 4
WUF
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
WUF
0 - 1
MEL
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SYD
1 - 4
MEL
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 1
WPH
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |