Western United FC vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
WUF
0 - 2
SYD
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CCM
1 - 0
WUF
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
WUF
0 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
WUF
2 - 1
WES
54%
22%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
WUF
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ADE
3 - 1
MEL
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SYD
2 - 1
MEL
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
WPH
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
WUF
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |