Western United FC vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
12º
12º
18
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 12% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
WUF
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
SYD
4 - 2
WUF
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
WUF
2 - 1
BRI
32%
26%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 0
WUF
68%
18%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
WUF
0 - 1
WPH
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
8 - 1
BRI
58%
22%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
0 - 0
MEL
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 3
CCM
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 1
HAN
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
MCI
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |