Western United FC vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
10º
6º
6
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 41 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
11º
|
70% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 4
WUF
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 19 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SYD
3 - 4
WUF
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 0
MFC
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 3
MEL
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PER
1 - 3
WUF
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
WES
2 - 2
BRI
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 4
MCI
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 4
BRI
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 3
ADE
28%
24%
49%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |