Western United FC vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
9º
42
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WES
1 - 0
WUF
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 2
WUF
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 0
SYD
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
4 - 0
WUF
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 3
ADE
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 0
MFC
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 0
ADE
43%
24%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |