Western United FC vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
82.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
WES
3 - 2
REA
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
WES
1 - 2
MAL
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
WES
0 - 3
KOS
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 3
WES
6%
10%
85%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WES
2 - 3
MAR
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
WPH
0 - 2
WES
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
WPH
2 - 1
CCM
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 1
WPH
43%
26%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
MFC
0 - 3
WPH
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
WPH
2 - 2
PER
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |