Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
8º
4º
24
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
12.5% | 15.5% |
|
Next round
|
72.5% | 69.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 2
WES
30%
24%
47%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
WES
5 - 1
ADE
38%
23%
39%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 6
WES
5%
11%
85%
|
70 | 31 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
WES
1 - 2
SYD
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 2
WES
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 0
WPH
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
WPH
6%
12%
82%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 0
WPH
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
WPH
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WES
4 - 0
WPH
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |