Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
WES
1 - 3
ARS
9%
16%
75%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
WES
3 - 2
SHA
32%
27%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
URA
6 - 1
WES
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 1
WES
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 2
WES
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
4 - 3
WPH
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
WPH
1 - 1
SYD
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 3
WPH
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
WPH
5 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
WES
3 - 1
WPH
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |