Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
8º
4º
8
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
72.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
WES
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WES
5 - 0
WUF
47%
25%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WES
0 - 0
WPH
51%
24%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 2
WES
30%
24%
47%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
WES
5 - 1
ADE
38%
23%
39%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
CCM
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 1
PER
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 4
MEL
33%
24%
43%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
PER
0 - 4
MFC
34%
21%
45%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |