Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
11º
7º
12
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
11º
|
65% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
29% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WES
3 - 4
ADE
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 1
WES
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
SYD
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WPH
0 - 2
WES
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
WES
42%
22%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
NEW
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
MCI
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
PER
2 - 0
NEW
40%
22%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PER
2 - 3
NEW
41%
22%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
WPH
0 - 1
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |