Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
8º
4º
13
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
72.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 3
WES
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 1
WES
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
PER
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 1
WES
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
WES
0 - 1
CCM
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
MEL
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
WPH
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
BRI
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
SYD
4 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |