Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CCM
3 - 1
WES
25%
24%
52%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
WES
1 - 1
SYD
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 2
WES
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WES
3 - 0
MCI
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +3 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
WPH
3 - 1
WES
44%
25%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
4 - 0
MEL
64%
19%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SYD
2 - 1
MEL
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |