Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
WES
0 - 0
CCM
50%
28%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
WPH
1 - 0
WES
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
SET
2 - 2
WES
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAZ
3 - 1
WES
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 0
WES
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 0
MEL
43%
24%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 3
SYD
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
CCM
0 - 3
MEL
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |