Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 1
WES
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WES
0 - 1
SYD
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 0
WES
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WES
0 - 0
CCM
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PER
2 - 0
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
WPH
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PER
3 - 0
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |