AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 0
WES
7%
15%
78%
|
75 | 21 | 54 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
WES
2 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
WES
70%
17%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
WES
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WES
2 - 0
CCM
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
TIT
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
DAL
1 - 2
GUA
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
JIA
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
GUA
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
HAR
3 - 6
GUA
15%
21%
64%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |