Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
4º
4º
44
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WES
4 - 0
MFC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 4
WES
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WES
0 - 1
SYD
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WES
1 - 0
WUF
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
2 - 2
WES
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 1
WPH
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
CCM
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
CCM
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 2
CCM
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
2 - 2
WES
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |