Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1416%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
11º
7º
33
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 44 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 42 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
33 | 41 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 40 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
49% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 9% |
|
Next round
|
42% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
WES
1 - 3
CCM
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 2
WES
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MEL
2 - 2
WES
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
WES
2 - 3
MFC
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 3
WES
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ADE
2 - 2
AFC
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 74 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
3 - 0
MCI
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 77 | 56 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PER
1 - 0
AFC
82%
11%
6%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 0
MEL
18%
24%
58%
|
20 | 74 | 54 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 4
AFC
76%
16%
8%
|
19 | 74 | 55 | +1 |