Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
11º
7º
31
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
11º
|
65% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 89% |
|
Next round
|
29% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 1
WES
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
SYD
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WPH
0 - 2
WES
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
WES
42%
22%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 4
WES
14%
17%
70%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 1
CCM
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 1
BRI
58%
21%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
ADE
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
WES
42%
22%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 3
ADE
6%
10%
84%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |