Western Suburbs vs Whanganui Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
2.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
5º
5º
5
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
WSU
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
2 - 2
WSU
41%
21%
38%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 1
MIR
13%
15%
71%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +4 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
WSU
35%
21%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Whanganui Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 5
NAP
5%
10%
85%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STO
3 - 1
WAF
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 1
WAF
90%
8%
2%
|
12 | 51 | 39 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 5
NWA
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
3 - 4
WEL
4%
9%
87%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | -1 |