Western Suburbs vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
84.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
2º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 0
WSU
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
6 - 0
VUN
73%
15%
11%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
WEL
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WEL
6%
12%
82%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 0
WSU
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
NAP
89%
8%
4%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 0
SEA
89%
8%
4%
|
50 | 11 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 2
NWA
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |