Western Suburbs vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
84.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
2º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 0
WSU
88%
8%
4%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
6 - 0
VUN
73%
15%
11%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
WEL
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WEL
6%
12%
82%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 0
WSU
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
NAP
89%
8%
4%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 0
SEA
89%
8%
4%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 2
NWA
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |