Western Suburbs vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
74.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
5º
5º
40
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
WSU
7 - 1
WAF
92%
6%
2%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
WSU
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
2 - 2
WSU
41%
21%
38%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 1
MIR
13%
15%
71%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +4 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 3
NAP
83%
11%
5%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
STO
3 - 2
WEL
6%
12%
82%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
7 - 0
NWA
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 2
PET
87%
9%
3%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 1
WAF
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 12 | 39 | 0 |