Western Suburbs vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
2º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 1
WSU
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
3 - 2
WSU
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WSU
91%
6%
2%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 7
WSU
16%
17%
67%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
8 - 3
WSU
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 1
WKA
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
1 - 5
NAP
46%
20%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 2
WKA
14%
16%
70%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 6
WKA
8%
13%
79%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WKA
4 - 3
PET
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |