Western Suburbs vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
5º
5º
18
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
WSU
70%
15%
15%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
0 - 1
PET
71%
15%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
1 - 3
NAP
49%
20%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STO
0 - 4
WSU
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 0
WSU
32%
21%
48%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ROW
2 - 5
WKA
40%
21%
39%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WKA
0 - 3
NAP
45%
21%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STO
1 - 4
WKA
25%
20%
56%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 3
WKA
51%
20%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
WKA
5 - 1
NWA
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |