Western Suburbs vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 1
WSU
65%
17%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 0
HAW
12%
14%
74%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +3 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 11
WEL
10%
16%
75%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PET
4 - 0
WSU
10%
15%
75%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
WUF
0 - 1
WSU
29%
21%
50%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 0
WEL
7%
14%
80%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WKA
2 - 1
NAP
17%
17%
66%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
WKA
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 1
PET
79%
13%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WUF
4 - 2
WKA
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |