Western Suburbs vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
13.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
5º
5º
29
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
1 - 3
NAP
49%
20%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STO
0 - 4
WSU
19%
19%
62%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 0
WSU
32%
21%
48%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 0
NWA
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
KCU
0 - 4
WSU
14%
16%
70%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PET
0 - 5
WEL
6%
10%
85%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
WEL
10%
14%
77%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
PET
69%
16%
15%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
PET
3 - 0
FCW
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PET
2 - 0
WAF
91%
7%
3%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |