Western Suburbs vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
2º
9
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STO
0 - 4
WSU
14%
16%
70%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
PET
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 4
WSU
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
MIR
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
0 - 1
WEL
5%
11%
84%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NWA
2 - 2
PET
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MIR
8 - 1
NWA
94%
4%
1%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 4
IBU
73%
14%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
NWA
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NWA
3 - 1
STO
40%
20%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |