Western Suburbs vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
2º
40
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 0
NWA
89%
8%
3%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STO
0 - 4
WSU
14%
16%
70%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
PET
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 4
WSU
31%
22%
48%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
MIR
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
6 - 1
NWA
92%
6%
2%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
NAP
9%
14%
77%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 3
MIR
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 2
BIR
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 5
NAP
9%
13%
78%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +1 |