Western Suburbs vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
5º
5º
30
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STO
0 - 4
WSU
19%
19%
62%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 0
WSU
32%
21%
48%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 0
NWA
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
KCU
0 - 4
WSU
14%
16%
70%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 5
WEL
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
PET
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
8 - 2
STO
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
4 - 1
STO
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
4 - 2
IBU
77%
14%
10%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NAP
3 - 1
NWA
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |