Western Suburbs vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
71.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
5º
5º
21
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
65%
17%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
WSU
35%
21%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 3
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 3
WSU
35%
21%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 4
WKA
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 0
STO
94%
5%
2%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 2
MIR
23%
19%
58%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 0
NWA
92%
5%
2%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
MIR
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 4
WEL
27%
21%
53%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -3 |