Western Suburbs vs Island Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
2º
12
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
6 - 0
VUN
73%
15%
11%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
WEL
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WSU
12%
15%
72%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 2
PET
23%
19%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 3
WEL
10%
13%
77%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IBU
4 - 3
STO
14%
16%
70%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
IBU
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
IBU
89%
7%
4%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |