Western Springs vs Tauranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
5º
2º
25
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 2
WES
23%
19%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WES
2 - 0
BAO
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
WES
25%
20%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WES
3 - 2
BIR
56%
19%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WES
3 - 3
MEL
72%
15%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tauranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 3
TCU
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
TCU
43%
23%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TCU
1 - 4
AFC
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TCU
4 - 0
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
0 - 2
EAS
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |