Western Springs vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
5º
2º
14
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WCR
2 - 2
WES
15%
17%
68%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
WES
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WES
2 - 2
ECB
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WES
2 - 1
MEL
82%
12%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TCU
1 - 4
WES
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAW
0 - 0
EAS
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 0
TCU
19%
17%
64%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +4 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 0
HAW
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 2
ECB
40%
21%
39%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |