Western AFC vs St Albans Shirley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
4 - 5
PAS
34%
21%
45%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
WAF
0 - 1
UOC
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
WAF
0 - 1
BUR
51%
21%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 3
WAF
83%
12%
6%
|
6 | 59 | 53 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WAF
1 - 2
SUF
30%
21%
49%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St Albans Shirley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STA
1 - 6
WMK
26%
20%
54%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
STA
2 - 4
PAS
33%
22%
45%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FCT
4 - 2
STA
45%
22%
33%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -2 |