West Virginia vs Bowling Green Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Virginia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
WMB
1 - 0
WVM
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
WVM
1 - 0
NIH
57%
20%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MTH
2 - 1
WVM
54%
21%
26%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
BUB
1 - 5
WVM
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bowling Green Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BGF
1 - 0
SIU
69%
17%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AZF
2 - 0
BGF
43%
22%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |