West Ham vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
HUR
3 - 1
WHU
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1931 |
SHE
6 - 0
WHU
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1931 |
WHU
0 - 2
MID
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1931 |
WHU
3 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1931 |
BOL
0 - 1
WHU
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
NEW
4 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1931 |
GRI
1 - 2
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1931 |
BIR
4 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1931 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIV
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |