West Ham vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
9º
16º
10º
12
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 97 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 86 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 79 |
3º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 65 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 65 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 62 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 62 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 58 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 55 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 53 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 43 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 37 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 37 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 35 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 35 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 30 |
19º
|
24% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 28 |
20º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 86.5% |
|
Champions League
|
3.5% | 13.5% |
|
Europa League
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
WHU
1 - 0
BOU
58%
22%
21%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRY
0 - 2
WHU
38%
25%
38%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WHU
1 - 2
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WHU
2 - 2
CEL
61%
21%
18%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WHU
1 - 3
CRY
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 1
IPS
90%
8%
2%
|
100 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 2
MAC
14%
19%
68%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
81%
12%
7%
|
100 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 2
CHL
79%
14%
8%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 2
MAC
20%
21%
59%
|
100 | 96 | 4 | 0 |