West Ham vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
BBU
2 - 0
WHU
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
WHU
2 - 4
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
ARS
2 - 3
WHU
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
WHU
1 - 1
LIV
59%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
LEE
4 - 1
WHU
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
MAC
2 - 3
LEI
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
LEE
4 - 1
MAC
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
DER
1 - 1
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
MAC
5 - 3
SUN
58%
19%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1928 |
MAC
2 - 1
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |