FA Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
West Ham vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
WHU
1 - 0
NTT
32%
26%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
WHU
3 - 2
COV
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1996 |
WHU
0 - 1
MUD
24%
25%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
LEE
2 - 0
WHU
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
WHU
2 - 0
SOU
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
GRI
1 - 1
DER
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
SUN
1 - 0
GRI
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
GRI
1 - 2
MIL
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
OPA
3 - 1
GRI
43%
26%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
GRI
7 - 1
LUT
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |