Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 4-2
West Ham vs Domžale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 1
WHU
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
KSC
0 - 3
WHU
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FCR
3 - 0
WHU
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
WHU
2 - 2
SLO
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
WHU
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 2
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 1
WHU
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
KRS
1 - 1
DOM
29%
31%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 1
SHA
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 0
RAD
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |