West Ham vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
LEE
1 - 2
WHU
69%
18%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
WHU
2 - 1
COV
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1978 |
BIR
3 - 0
WHU
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
WHU
3 - 1
CHL
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1978 |
WHU
3 - 0
IPS
41%
26%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
LEE
2 - 0
DER
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
DER
3 - 1
WOL
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 0
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
DER
2 - 0
QPR
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |