West Ham vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1977 |
WHU
2 - 0
COV
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1977 |
MID
1 - 1
WHU
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1977 |
LEE
1 - 1
WHU
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
DER
1 - 1
WHU
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
NEW
3 - 0
WHU
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1977 |
ARS
0 - 0
DER
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
DER
4 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1977 |
COV
2 - 0
DER
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
SUN
1 - 1
DER
42%
27%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
DER
1 - 1
WHU
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |