West Ham vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
COV
3 - 1
WHU
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1972 |
WHU
2 - 2
WOL
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
WHU
4 - 0
CRY
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
MAC
4 - 3
WHU
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
WHU
3 - 1
SHE
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
DER
2 - 2
CRY
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
SLB
0 - 0
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1972 |
MAC
4 - 0
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
DER
2 - 1
SHE
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
DER
3 - 0
SLB
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |