West Ham vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
2 - 0
WHU
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
WHU
2 - 1
CRY
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
SOU
1 - 1
WHU
58%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
WHU
1 - 1
SUN
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1969 |
WOL
1 - 0
WHU
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1969 |
MUD
1 - 0
DER
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
DER
3 - 0
SUN
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
DER
0 - 0
MUD
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
ARS
4 - 0
DER
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
DER
4 - 0
LIV
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |