West Ham vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
WHU
1 - 1
SHE
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
SHE
6 - 2
WHU
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
WHU
5 - 2
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 2
WHU
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
WHU
2 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
ASV
0 - 1
DER
64%
19%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
DER
5 - 0
ASV
56%
20%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
62%
19%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
MID
3 - 3
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
DER
6 - 0
BBU
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |