West Ham vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
WHU
0 - 0
ARS
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
NEW
1 - 2
WHU
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
WHU
4 - 2
NTT
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
MAC
2 - 2
WHU
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
WHU
3 - 0
LEI
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 2
NTT
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
ARS
3 - 2
ASV
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
ASV
0 - 0
EVE
37%
27%
35%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
IPS
0 - 3
ASV
46%
26%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 1
COV
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |