West Ham vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
WHU
1 - 0
MAG
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
WHU
4 - 0
SHE
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1966 |
ASV
1 - 2
WHU
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
LEE
5 - 0
WHU
57%
22%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
CAR
1 - 5
WHU
36%
23%
41%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
BPO
0 - 1
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
ASV
3 - 1
BBU
47%
23%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1966 |
WBA
2 - 2
ASV
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1966 |
ASV
1 - 2
WHU
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
LEI
2 - 1
ASV
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |