West Ham vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1958 |
WHU
2 - 0
WOL
28%
24%
49%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
OPA
1 - 2
WHU
64%
19%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
MID
1 - 3
WHU
57%
21%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
WHU
1 - 1
LIV
54%
22%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1958 |
CAR
0 - 3
WHU
50%
22%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1958 |
ASV
3 - 2
OPA
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
NTT
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
MAC
1 - 2
ASV
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 0
SHW
60%
19%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |