Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
West Ham vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
BIR
1 - 5
WHU
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
WHU
2 - 1
MUD
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
ARA
1 - 1
WHU
37%
25%
39%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
MID
3 - 0
WHU
43%
27%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
WHU
2 - 1
NEW
62%
20%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
ARA
1 - 1
WHU
37%
25%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ANO
1 - 1
ARA
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
ARA
9 - 0
ANO
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
ARA
1 - 0
BYM
16%
19%
64%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
BYM
2 - 0
ARA
94%
4%
2%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |