West Coast Rangers vs Melville United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
12º
8º
18
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Coast Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
6 - 1
WCR
77%
14%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TCU
2 - 1
WCR
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WCR
0 - 3
AUC
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAO
4 - 2
WCR
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WCR
2 - 2
MAN
40%
22%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 4
EAS
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
7 - 3
MEL
90%
8%
3%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
AFC
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
7 - 1
MEL
45%
22%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 4
BIR
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |